ツチヤ ヨウイチ   TSUCHIYA YOICHI
  土屋 陽一
   所属   明治大学  商学部
   職種   専任教授
言語種別 英語
発行・発表の年月 2015/02
形態種別 学術雑誌
査読 査読あり
標題 Linkages among commodity futures prices in the recent financial crisis: An application of cointegration tests with a structural break
執筆形態 単著
掲載誌名 Cogent Economics and Finance
掲載区分国外
出版社・発行元 Cogent OA
巻・号・頁 3(1)
著者・共著者 Yoichi Tsuchiya
概要 In this study, we investigate the existence of long-term co-movements among the prices of commodity futures contracts. We use a cointegration test, which accounts for the presence of a structural break. We show that while there is a long-term relationship among agricultural and among non-agricultural commodity futures prices when a structural break is taken into account, there is no such relationship without allowing for a structural break. We also show that these break points, in fact, occur a few months before the recent global financial crisis. Although the previous literature broadly casts doubt on such price co-movements, our results confirm that market performance improved during the sample period.
DOI 10.1080/23322039.2015.1012436
ISSN 2332-2039