TSUCHIYA YOICHI
   Department   Undergraduate School  , School of Commerce
   Position   Professor
Language English
Publication Date 2015/02
Type Academic Journal
Peer Review Peer reviewed
Title Linkages among commodity futures prices in the recent financial crisis: An application of cointegration tests with a structural break
Contribution Type Sole-authored
Journal Cogent Economics and Finance
Journal TypeAnother Country
Publisher Cogent OA
Volume, Issue, Page 3(1)
Author and coauthor Yoichi Tsuchiya
Details In this study, we investigate the existence of long-term co-movements among the prices of commodity futures contracts. We use a cointegration test, which accounts for the presence of a structural break. We show that while there is a long-term relationship among agricultural and among non-agricultural commodity futures prices when a structural break is taken into account, there is no such relationship without allowing for a structural break. We also show that these break points, in fact, occur a few months before the recent global financial crisis. Although the previous literature broadly casts doubt on such price co-movements, our results confirm that market performance improved during the sample period.
DOI 10.1080/23322039.2015.1012436
ISSN 2332-2039