TSUCHIYA YOICHI
   Department   Undergraduate School  , School of Commerce
   Position   Professor
Language English
Publication Date 2014/01
Type Academic Journal
Peer Review Peer reviewed
Title A directional evaluation of corporate executives' exchange rate forecasts
Contribution Type Sole-authored
Journal Applied Economics
Journal TypeAnother Country
Publisher ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
Volume, Issue, Page 46(1),pp.95-101
Author and coauthor Y. Tsuchiya
Details We investigate the directional accuracy of exchange rate forecasts by corporate executives. We find that a forecast with a 1-year horizon is valuable for the profitability and unprofitability predictions of manufacturers, although previous studies provide considerable evidence that forecasts with horizons of 1 year and longer are not valuable. However, a forecast is not valuable in predicting an appreciation or depreciation of the exchange rate. Our findings suggest that corporate executives are more concerned about and focused on the impact of the exchange rate on their profitability, rather than the exchange rate itself.
DOI 10.1080/00036846.2013.831173
ISSN 0003-6846
PermalinkURL http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-84885168263&partnerID=MN8TOARS
URL for researchmap http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2485-3959