ヤマダ トモアキ   Yamada Tomoaki
  山田 知明
   所属   明治大学  商学部
   職種   専任教授
言語種別 英語
発行・発表の年月 2017/07
形態種別 学術雑誌
査読 査読有り
標題 Can Guest Workers Solve Japan's Fiscal Problems?
執筆形態 共著(筆頭者以外)
掲載誌名 Economic Inquiry
出版社・発行元 Wiley
巻・号・頁 55(3),pp.1287-1307
著者・共著者 Selahattin Imrohoroglu, Sagiri Kitao
概要 The labor force in Japan is projected to fall from 64 million in 2014 to 20 million in 2100, signaling unprecedented tax/transfer adjustments to achieve fiscal sustainability. In this paper, we develop a quantitative overlapping generations model to measure the impact of guest worker programs in Japan. Against a baseline general equilibrium transition in which the consumption tax adjusts to achieve fiscal sustainability, we compute alternative transitions with guest worker programs. Depending on the size and skill distribution of guest workers, these programs may mitigate Japan's fiscal imbalance problem with a relatively manageable increase in the consumption tax.
DOI 10.1111/ecin.12439