Yamamura Yoshiro
   Department   Professional Graduate School  , Graduate School of Global Business
   Position   Professor
Language English
Publication Date 2016/06
Type Bulletin of Universities and Institutes
Title A Dynamic Bond Pricing Model with Application to the Japanese Government Bonds
Contribution Type Co-authored (other than first author)
Journal Annual review of economics
Journal TypeJapan
Publisher Faculty of Economics, Nagasaki University
Volume, Issue, Page 32,pp.57-69
Author and coauthor Kamizono, Kenji; Kariya, Takeaki
Details In this paper, we generalize the cross-sectional fixed-coupon bond pricing model of Kariya et. al.(2012) to a dynamic one. The bond prices are modeled as the present values of the future cash-flows where the discount functions are stochastic and may depend on the bond attributes. In our framework, the cross-sectional and time-series covariance structure among the stochastic discount functions depends on the difference of the time-to-maturity of the bonds. We also propose a bond price forecast method using our model. The empirical result and the forecast performance on the Japanese government bonds are presented.
ISSN 0910-8602
arXiv ID http://hdl.handle.net/10069/36650